Until I figure out what to do with this section, simply leave me any questions about your Dynasty League.
That’s what I figured. Just doing my Monday Morning Rosterbation ritual. Thanks again, Rich.
I’m getting a fair amount of interest for Puig in my dynasty league. I’ve been offered Ellsbury for Puig and Willingham or Ellsbury for Puig and Crisp. Seems like a good deal to get the proven player, but I don’t want to give up Puig if he is going to be outproducing Ellsbury in a year or so.
I’m doing Ellsbury for Puig in a heartbeat. Ellsbury is only 29 and should have 2 years of full production and then another 2 before the steep decline may set-in. Puig is still a prospect and while he could be special…win now!
In a 12 team Dynasty auction league with 12 keepers per year where the values increase by $2 each year. Should I trade away David Wright ($20) Chris Perez ($2) and Westbrook ($1) for Heyward ($22) and Beachy ($1)? Thanks for your time Rich, Much appreciated.
Westbrook is noise in this trade, so let’s eliminate him as he’ll turn into Westbrook very soon. It’s Wright for Heyward, who are essentially costing the same and I’m assuming will need to be moved around $30. Wright is 30 and should earn more this year than Heyward but I expect Heyward to blow-up eventually and be a star. Is it next year or the following? Don’t know, but in 5-years, Heyward should out-earned Wright, however, if you’re playing for this year and need the production, you need to think twice. There is risk in Beachy but let’s face it, Perez is a second division closer and while there’s no guarantee that Beachy will return to what he was before the surgery, I like him more than Perez.
I do it but know, I like it more for years 2 through X.
Conceptual dynasty question:
I have a block in my head that says, “this 30yr old has declining production, so move him now and take a shot at selling the hyped prospect next year (or in some fashion.”
Perfect example is Aybar. His name is driving his value right now, so why wouldn’t I nab a top 50 prospect and another top 100?
It’s a great question. I’ve been playing Dynasty Leagues for five years and in the format, you quickly learn how fast players fall off. Halladay was the pitcher to own just three years ago…now, he might be done. The most valuable players are those that have 2-3 years of MLB experience and with some level of success. Yes, Trout, Harper, etc… but even struggling guys like Hosmer and Heyward are very valuable; their pedigree and short-term success is still something to dream on. On each opposite end is the where the the game is won or lost. Kids below Double A must be sold on hype unless their names are Buxton, Correra, etc… There are very few of them. If a player is starting to dominate Double-A, then they art of selling high on them or sticking with them becomes a dilemma. For pitchers, I keep players with excellent mechanics, good velo, and who can spin a breaking pitch. If they don’t have all three, I start to move them based on the hype. For hitters, I’m looking for bat speed from a scouting standpoint, and strikeout and walk rates from a stat makeup. I look for hitters first then power, and then speed. But I focus on the hit tool.
At the other end, I’m beginning to look to sell hitters who are 31 and pitcher who are 32. I want to own the player between 25-30 and then sell them before the fall. If I sell Cliff Lee when he’s 34 and he continues to pitch well for the remainder of the year, I’m ok with that. I know that the fall is around the corner. In fact, I sold Cliff Lee as I had excess pitching in a league and got Taijuan Walker, Albert Almora, and even a #5 pitcher back in Doubront; who in a deep league is the kind of pitcher I love to own. A lefty with great stuff with spotty command; but a coaching staff who knows how to develop pitchers. Why he’s lost 2 MPH off his fastball is concerning, but I think it has to do with mechanics than injury or age.
That’s my strategy in a nutshell…yes, in some years where I have a chance, I’ll sacrifice the future to win now as flags fly forever.
Thanks! I am literally trying to replicate that philosophy!
The other thought is trading amongst the top owners in the standings. I really like to trade evenly among those owners to keep league integrity high, but sometimes the best offer is from a duplicate. Is backing out of a trade to not agitate other owners only a thought by me, or is this shared?
Rich, How do you feel about A.Vizcaino for the Cubs, I have been holding him in my 16 team dynasty league for two years and now with his latest surgery should I jump ship or wait for him for next year?
I think health is a problem as he’s hurt again. Tough call…love the arm, but I think it’s a bullpen arm; could be a closer. I wouldn’t outright drop him but I would try to move him as a second piece in a trade.
Are you intending on following last year and posting a 2013 Mid-season Top 50?
In my 16 team h2h dynasty league I offered the Medlen owner G.Holland and Detwiler for Medlen and Biddle, while this possibly hurts me in short term if Medlen loses rotation spot I like long term gain. The other owner wants me to add in M.Barnes, having a hard time with that, being too stingy?
Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:
You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. ( Log Out / Change )
You are commenting using your Twitter account. ( Log Out / Change )
You are commenting using your Facebook account. ( Log Out / Change )
Connecting to %s
Notify me of follow-up comments via email.
Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.
Join 47 other followers