There is nothing wrong with moving early on Starting Pitching this year, but it’s important to remember that you don’t have to. You can and will be able to find solid upper-tier starters right through the 5th Round. Starting pitching is deep, with plenty of talent from top-to-bottom, allowing us the opportunity to pick the path we wish to journey.
- Sandy Alcantara, MIA – He led the League in IP by a whopping 23 2/3 over runner-up Aaron Nola, while posting a 2.28 ERA. His six complete games led the Majors. He is the consummate workhorse in a League where that phrase can’t be used very often.
- Shohei Ohtani, LAA – We should be incredibly thankful to watch the best all-around player in the game’s history.
- Gerrit Cole, NYY – In the past five full seasons, Cole has started 33, 32, 33, 30, and 32 games. Over that span, he has bested the 250-strikeout mark three times. Even with a mid-3 ERA, there’s a lot to like.
- Corbin Burnes, MIL – As a parting gift to the Milwaukee faithful, he’ll attempt to carry them to a playoff spot in 2023.
- Aaron Nola, PHI – 2021 proved to be a hiccup, as we saw Nola return to his workhorse-type ways last year—Bank on 200 innings of low-3 ERA and 200+ strikeouts.
- Dylan Cease, CWS – Over the past two seasons, only eight starters have recorded back-to-back 200+ strikeout seasons, and Dylan Cease is one of those eight.
- Shane McClanahan, TBR – A left shoulder impingement at the end of August cost McClanahan three weeks, but he still managed to build on his excellent 2021 rookie campaign. There will be a Cy Young Award in the future.
- Alek Manoah, TOR – When you toss 196 2/3 innings of 2.24 ERA ball and are a finalist for the AL Cy Young Award in your first full season in the League, you’re an ace and should be treated as such heading into 2023.
- Justin Verlander, NYM – In a career that began in 2005, Verlander defied the odds and returned from TJS to post a 1.75 ERA, the best of his long and stellar career. Cooperstown awaits!
- Julio Urias, LAD – He’s the MLB win leader with 37 in the past two years while posting a 2.96 and 2.16 ERA. Yes, he could post higher strikeout numbers, but that’s a pretty minor issue when you look at what he brings to the table.
- Jacob deGrom, TEX – When healthy, deGrom is the best pitcher in the game. The last time he was 100% healthy was in 2019. Take anything over 135 innings and consider it a bonus.
- Spencer Strider, ATL – In 131 2/3 IP, he posted a 2.67 ERA with 202 strikeouts. A repeat of that amazing rookie campaign, adding in ten starts, and you have a Top-5 SP.
- Max Scherzer, NYM – “Mad” Max is now heading into his age-39 season, and the volume of work might be dropping slightly, but not the quality of that work.
- Shane Bieber, CLE – Bieber started 31 games last year, with 25 of them being of the “quality start” variety. The only thing that he doesn’t do is light up the radar gun with 100 mph heat, and he doesn’t have to.
- Carlos Rodon, NYY – A healthy Rodon is an ace, and with 31 and 24 starts over the past two seasons, the health concerns should be starting to fade.
- Max Fried, ATL – Since becoming a member of the Braves rotation in 2019, we’ve seen improvement each year with the same consistent (30, 28, and 30 starts) workload. Pencil him in for 30 starts, and enjoy the ride.
- Brandon Woodruff, MIL – Woodruff didn’t replicate that stellar 2021 campaign but didn’t miss by all that much. The Brewers will need another very good year from Woodruff to make it into the playoffs.
- Cristian Javier, HOU – Those who exercised patience were rewarded handsomely and will continue to reap the rewards for many years.
- Luis Castillo, SEA – A full year in Seattle should see a return to double-digit wins with the consistently solid ERA and strikeout totals.
- Zac Gallen, ARZ – We finally witnessed an entire season from Zac Gallen, as he bested his last season-high innings pitched by a whopping 62 2/3 innings. It was worth the wait.
- Zack Wheeler, PHI – Wheeler missed a month while dealing with forearm soreness but finished the season strong. Another 200-inning season might not be in the cards, but 160-to-175 solid innings make Wheeler a solid #2 Fantasy SP.
- Joe Musgrove, SDP – The past two seasons have been a model of consistency for Musgrove. A little run support would be just what the doctor ordered.
- Kevin Gausman, TOR – Double-digit wins with 200+ strikeouts as a #2 SP.
- Yu Darvish, SDP – Darvish is coming off his best season since 2013 and was handsomely rewarded for his efforts.
- Triston McKenzie, CLE – That curve ball is a thing of beauty.
- Logan Webb, SFG – Webb has allowed only 29 home runs in his first 434 2/3 innings. The workload increased last year as he closed in on the 200 IP mark. Yeah, we’d like to see an uptick in the strikeout rate, but it was quietly an excellent breakthrough campaign for the young Giants’ #2 starter.
- Luis Severino, NYY – When he pitched last year, he looked like the Severino of old. Unfortunately, he simply didn’t pitch enough, missing two months with a lat strain. Would I be surprised if he returns to his Top-20 form? Not one bit.
- Framber Valdez, HOU – Sinker, curveball, and cutter. Wash, rinse, and repeat because it is necessary and highly effective.
- Logan Gilbert, SEA – A #3/4 SP investment could yield #2 rewards.
- George Kirby, SEA – The 22 walks in 130 IP were some impressive. Better days are ahead, and the current days we witnessed last year were pretty darn good.
- Clayton Kershaw, LAD – There’s nothing wrong with planning for 20 starts, especially when you know they will be 20 very good starts.
- Hunter Greene, CIN – Let’s hope that a stellar September is a harbinger of future things.
- Tyler Glasnow, TBR – Tyler Glasnow is heading into his age-30 season. Tyler Glasnow has surpassed the 100 IP mark in a season once. Need I say more?
- Kyle Wright, ATL – It took a bit longer than expected, but Wright finally delivered on that potential as the #5 overall pick out of Vanderbilt in 2017. He exploded in 2022, posting a 21-5 won/loss record and a 3.19 ERA. Run support is a good thing; there will be no shortage in Atlanta.
- Robbie Ray, SEA – A safe bet to contribute 200+ strikeouts with a high-3 ERA.
- Nestor Cortes, NYY – Hitters couldn’t sort through the deception, and that won’t change moving forward.
- Nick Lodolo, CIN – It was an impressive debut by the 25-year-old southpaw. Hunter Greene and Nick Lodolo give the Reds an exciting one-two punch to build around.
- Tony Gonsolin, LAD – The right forearm strain that cost Gonsolin the last five weeks of the regular season has to be a concern. You won’t have to overpay for that great 2022 season, so don’t.
- Kodai Senga, NYM – The “ghost” forkball will torment hitters, and the fastball has some serious giddy up. First-time, through the League, Senga should dominate.
- Blake Snell, SDP – The 2022 and 2021 seasons were virtually identical. The difference being Snell walked 18 fewer hitters, and five fewer balls left the yard last year. The resulting difference in ERA was almost a full run, 4.20 vs. 3.38. I won’t slap money down on Snell, keeping the walk rates for 2022 low, but it can’t be ruled out.
- Luis Garcia, HOU – The 2021 and 2022 numbers were virtually identical. There’s no reason to expect 2023 to differ.
- Jesus Luzardo, MIA – Luzardo pitched in a career-high 18 starts in 2022. The 3.32 ERA was outstanding, and he struck out 120 hitters in 100 1/3 innings, another career high. Will 2023 be when he stays fully healthy and works 150+ innings?
- Lucas Giolito, CWS – Giolito took a step backward last year as his old bugaboo resurfaced, the free pass. You can count on 170 innings and close to 200 strikeouts, but the ERA will continue to soar until he gets the walks under control.
- Chris Sale, BOS – Chris Sale has had 11 starts in the past three years. Nothing further needs to be said.
- Brady Singer, KCR – Singer was one of the most improved starters in baseball last year. No explanation is required when you toss 25 more innings than 2021 with 18 fewer free passes.
- Jordan Montgomery, STL – He’d sure look good in pinstripes.
- Chris Bassitt, TOR – He has been an under-rated starter the past three seasons and should flourish as the #3 starter for the Jays.
- Freddy Peralta, MIL – Will the 27 starts amassed in 2021 proves to be an outlier?
- Jeffrey Springs, TBR – Raise your hand if you predicted Springs would start 25 games last year and post a 2.46 ERA. The Rays pulled another “rabbit” out of the hat.
- Dustin May, LAD – The Dodgers have stated that workload limitations will be in place for May in 2023. The potential is still sky-high for the 25-year-old righty; know your parameters.
- Pablo Lopez, MIN
- Drew Rasmussen, TBR
- Joe Ryan, MIN
- Reid Detmers, LAA
- Merrill Kelly, ARZ
- Lance Lynn, CWS
- Miles Mikolas, STL
- Charlie Morton, ATL
- Sonny Gray, MIN
- Grayson Rodriguez, BAL
- Hunter Brown, HOU
- Martin Perez, TEX
- Jose Berrios, TOR
- Andrew Heaney, TEX
- Nathan Eovaldi, TEX
- Tyler Anderson, LAA
- Jameson Taillon, CHC
- Edward Cabrera, MIA
- Jon Gray, TEX
- Patrick Sandoval, LAA
- Jack Flaherty, STL
- Trevor Rogers, MIA
- Michael Kopech, CWS
- Taijuan Walker, PHI
- Cal Quantrill, CLE
- Ranger Suarez, PHI
- Tyler Mahle, MIN
- Andrew Painter, PHI
- Jose Urquidy, HOU
- Roansy Contreras, PIT
- Noah Syndergaard, LAD
- Ross Stripling, SFG
- Eric Lauer, MIL
- Eduardo Rodriguez, DET
- Marcus Stroman, CHC
- Zach Eflin, TBR
- Jose Quintana, NYM
- Kenta Maeda, MIN
- Alex Wood, SFG
- Kyle Harrison, SFG
- Bailey Ober, MIN
- Lance McCullers Jr., HOU
- Adam Wainwright, STL
- Carlos Carrasco, NYM
- Justin Steele, CHC
- Michael Wacha, SDP
- Johnny Cueto, MIA
- Alex Cobb, SFG
- Hayden Wesneski, CHC
- Sean Manaea, SFG
- Kyle Bradish, BAL
- Nick Pivetta, BOS
- Aaron Civale, CLE
- Nick Martinez, SDP
- Steven Matz, STL
- Drew Rucinski, OAK
- Jose Suarez, LAA
- Matt Manning, DET
- Garrett Whitlock, BOS
- David Peterson, NYM
- Spencer Turnbull, DET
- Ken Waldichuk, OAK
- Domingo German, NYY
- Mike Soroka, ATL
- Mitch Keller, PIT
- Shintaro Fujinami, OAK
- Corey Kluber, BOS
- James Paxton, BOS
- MacKenzie Gore, WAS
- Luis Ortiz, PIT
- Drew Smyly, CHC
- Josiah Gray, WAS
- Zack Greinke, KCR
- Michael Lorenzen, DET
- Dean Kremer, BAL
- Braxton Garrett, MIA
- Cole Irvin, BAL
- Tylor Megill, NYM
- Bailey Falter, PHI
- James Kaprielian, OAK
- Frankie Montas, NYY
- German Marquez, COL
- Kyle Gibson, BAL
- Mike Clevinger, CWS
- Marco Gonzales, SEA
- Matthew Boyd, DET
- Zach Plesac, CLE
- Drey Jameson, ARZ
- Clarke Schmidt, NYY
- Ian Anderson, ATL
- Kyle Muller, OAK
- Gavin Williams, CLE
- Yusei Kikuchi, TOR
- Brayan Bello, BOS
- Cade Cavalli, WAS
- Aaron Ashby, MIL
- Seth Lugo, SDP
- Brandon Pfaadt, ARZ
- Tarik Skubal, DET
- Hyun-jJin Ryu, TOR
- John Means, BAL
- Taj Bradley, TBR
- Luis Patino, TBR
- Gavin Stone, LAD
- Tanner Bibee, CLE
- Ryan Pepiot, LAD
- Chase Silseth, LAA
- Cole Winn, TEX
- Yosvery Zulueta, TOR
- Jordan Lyles, KCR
- Adrian Sampson, CHC
- Eury Perez, MIA
- Zach Davies, ARZ
- Brandon Williamson, CIN
- Daniel Lynch, KCR
- Brad Keller, KCR
- Ricky Tiedmann, TOR
- Paul Blackburn, OAK
- Kyle Freeland, COL
- Bryce Miller, SEA
- Bryce Elder, ATL
- Ryan Yarbrough, KCR
- Jake Odorizzi, TEX
- Wade Miley, MIL
- Bobby Miller, LAD
- Graham Ashcraft, CIN
- Vince Velasquez, PIT
- Matthew Liberatore, STL
- Gordon Graceffo, STL
- Ryne Nelson, ARZ
- Madison Bumgarner, ARZ
- Robert Gasser, MIL
- Emerson Hancock, SEA
- Joey Wentz, DET
- Kyle Hendricks, CHC
- Sixto Sanchez, MIA
- Rich Hill, PIT
- JT Brubaker, PIT
- Luis Cessa, CIN
- Walker Buehler, LAD
- DL Hall, BAL
- Griff McGarry, PHI
- Patrick Corbin, WAS
- Trevor Bauer, FA
- Ryan Weathers, SDP
- Anthony DeSclafani, SFG
- Jonathan Stiever, CWS
- Trevor Williams, WAS
- Luke Weaver, CIN
- Stephen Strasburg, WAS
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