Hey Rich,
What do you hear about Villar? I need speed at SS but is it time to clear him from my roster? I was able to get Asdrubal and a pick for Drew and Rubby but I am 7 SBs behind for the 2 points I need to get into the playoffs.
I also picked up Josh Fields yesterday. What is his ceiling?
Villar’s inability to control the strikezone will probably move him to a utility role long-term. Correa getting hurt gives him another chance next year, but I’m not hopeful. He’s a speed guy, which is great for fantasy, but baseball team’s are looking for an OBP over .255; especially the metric-minded Astros.
I was offered Jose Reyes for my Daniel Norris, Raimel Tapia and first rd pick. I am currently 9th of 15 with no chance to win this year. Do I even bother with this trade or try to get more once those two prospects’ stock blows up over the winter?
I’m not sure why you would want a 31-year-old SS that is always getting hurt if you have no chance to win. Love Tapia and Norris and I’m assuming that 1st round pick will be quite valuable. I say no.
I did until today’s fiasco. Then again, Ranaudo walked 5 I think yesterday. Webster has great stuff, just still can’t repeat his delivery well enough to succeed at the highest level. Long answer, is yes. But I’m losing confidence.
League is set-up to keep 15 players per year with all team missing the playoffs which is the direction I’m heading in. Other team is asking for a second rounder – equivalent to a 17th round pick in standard single-season leagues – in a straight-up deal for Gyorko
I have Rendon and Gordon (who also has SS eligibility and where I currently have him slotted in my lineup) but I like what Gyorko showed his rookie year, especially for a 2B. He’s been hitting well since coming off the DL so I’m wondering if he was trying to play through pain the first couple months of the season when he batted so poorly?
Do you think his rookie year numbers are a reasonable expectation for a healthy Gyorko in 2015 or is he somewhere in between that and what he did at the beginning of this year?
Just re-read that first line and saw it made no sense. All teams missing the playoff this year in a 12 team league would receive a 0 round pick next off season. Thanks for the help!
Just following up Richie!! ended up landing VV and Sardinas for Lowrie. Future Staff/Farm shaping up nicely for a rebuilder:
Henderson Alvarez
Wily Peralta
Roenis Elias (May trade)
Ivan Nova (**sigh TJ**)
Rubby De La Rosa
Brandin Workman
Noah Syndergaard
Jameson Taillon (**sigh TJ**)
Carlos Martinez
Mike Folty
Hunter Harvey
Sean Manaea
Vincent Velasquez
I decided to rebuilt in my 12 team head to head I have
Polanco Taveras Sano Correa Buxton Arenado Adams Marte
Bundy Teheran J.Gray Zimmer S.Miller
We keep 15 so top 180 are gone and I have 3 first round picks
Got offered Tulo Drew for Castro Longoria and a 1st from the person who has a great chance to win so like 10-12 pick in the first next year I’m getting Tulo Thoughts
Very, very aggressive hitter but is still able to make solid contact. However, his BA is driven by a unsustainable .364 BABIP. That .310 average is going to drop…maybe by 50 to 60 points. Ceiling is 25-30 home run guy.
Rich, allow me to expand my question above. I am sitting on Cron but Guerrero is available on wire. Having said that, so is C. Seager and Solar. Again, no pressing positional need on my end. How do rank these four for next year and beyond??
Hey Roland, Here’s how I would rank them. Seager, Soler, Cron and Guerrero. Having said that, I just spent time talking with someone about Soler and he had me convinced that he has Top 10 talent, plus he’ll likely be up next year; maybe even a September call-up as he’s on the 40-man. I need to do some more digging on Soler but my mid-season ranking of 30 could have been low. Both Seager and Soler above Cron and Guerrrero
Yadier Molina…thoughts? Should I buy him in an NL only, two catcher league for a salary of $16? His contract expires after next year. The cost would be a starter I can’t keep. My other C is Grandal… Who does 2 catcher leagues in NL Only anyway?
It’s a tough call. having two quality catchers is a big advantage in a 2-catcher only league. Not sure what he would cost in an NL Only startup. Probably around 15-16, so it’s fair value, but full value as well.
Lindor could be up this year, so he would be short-term, but Russell is going to be a star.
Cole – He has all the warning signs of a TJS waiting to happen, but you just can’t play that game or you’ll only own guys like Mark Beurhle. I think he’s a fantasy stud.
I would do it with the two pitchers to drop being Keuchel and Hahn or C-Mart. C-Mart has more upside but he could still wind up in the pen. Tough call. I’d go with upside and drop Hahn.
Dyansty H2H pts league. J. Pederson available on wire. Would you drop K. Morales (have Cron & Loney) or Gyorko or La Stella (have Profar, Alcantara, and ability to play Lawrie at 2B) to pick him up? If so can who do you drop first, second and third?? Thanks.
I would. La Stella, Loney, and then Morales. Still think there is something there with Morales. La Stella is mostly an average guy and not as helpful in H2H leagues in general. Same with Loney
Undervalued at the moment because he can’t stay healthy. Big dude that will hit many big home runs. Swing and miss of course, but a prototypical power RF with 25+ HR power. That said, staying healthy is just as important and we need to start to see that.
Hey Rich. I’m having a hard time buying into Doziers stats and worry that their not sustainable over the long term. In a 16 team dynasty points league w/ 40 man rosters (15 minors) would you trade him for Soler and what are your thoughts on him (Soler)? La Stella would take over 2nd and I have Betts. Also, I own Bryant and Baez…too many Cubs??
Dozier is on an expiring contract. 5k to resign for 1 yr.
Soler is at lge minimum 1k for 3 yrs
Depends on your viewpoint. If you’re looking for the home run, it’s Touki. If you’re looking for a guy that will likely make the big leagues but could be good, not great. It’s Jagielo. It’s high risk/high reward vs. more certainty. You also have to throw in the fact that Touki is an arm and therefore inherently, more risky.
Still like him. Missed most of the year due to injury and therefore is a little under the radar. Would like him on my team. Still 2-3 years away though. Missing a year pushed his timeframe back. Could see the AFL as a taxi squad guy to push up his innings, despite being very young for the league.
I was offered this trade in a 30 team dynasty league with a 25 man MLB roster and 40 man minor league roster, should i do it? I’m trying to rebuild and third base is one of my strengths while shortstop is my biggest weakness.
I get
$1.00 Brock Holt (3B,LF,RF)
SS J.P. Crawford (PHI) TEX
he gets
3B Jake Lamb (ARZ) SEA
3B Patrick Kivlehan SEA
P Edwin Diaz SEA
P Allen Webster (BOS) SEA
2B Wendell Rijo (BOS) SEA
J.P Crawford makes it worthwhile. I still don’t believe in Holt. The only pause is Webster…still think he could amount to something but in 2-years, you’ll be very happy with Crawford.
in a rebuilding stage and i know youre a fan of Vincent Velasquezas am I. Have a young staff of Henderson alvarez, Wily Peralta, Rubby De La Rosa, Brandon Workman, Roenis Elias, CMart, with Syndergaard, taillon, harvey, manaea, robbie ray in the farm but looking for more SP depth. I have Alcantarra on the fringe of getting 2b eligibility. So would you deal Jed Lowrie for Vincent or ask for a little more?
I’m a big fan of VV but he’s in High-A and while Lowrie is not a great fantasy asset, you should be able to get a little more. Maybe a pick in next year’s draft? A flier prospect?
Wasn’t huge on Thompson to start with and this only hurts him. Kenbel has a live arm but there is effort in his delivery and therefore he struggles to repeat and therefore has below average command. That said, he should improve and could eventually be inline to be a closer, particularly if Feliz struggles.
What do you think about Tyson Ross’s future value? Is this who he is or will he get better/regress from here? I have a chance to move Moss and Ross for Buxton and Addison Russell in a dynasty league where I am out of it this year. I already have a ton of the top prospects so if it is close at all I think I am going to lean on the guys who will produce next year. Thanks in advance.
Honestly, there’s a lot to like. Strikeout per nine with 3:1 K/BB rate, a 58% ground ball rate, and a fastball sitting 94.33 MPH and touching 96 are all pointing to an elite pitcher. Plus, Petco will keep his ratios low. Now, San Diego will also suppress his wins, but otherwise, yeah…he’s really good. Russell and Buxton is quite a haul and if you are rebuilding, I would consider. Ross is still a pitcher and prone to injuries because of that, but Buxton and Russell are in Double-A and carry their own risk.
LOVING what I’m seeing from Soler: 22G in AA he batted .415/.494/.862 6HR…now he just got the call to AAA — I know you project him at a 25HR guy – are you calling him Marcel Ozuna? or his he better
F/U Soler question….I’m going to list 3 players of varying abilities who will he most be like once he’s fulfilled his promise…Yasiel Puig, Cargo, Matt Holiday….and if it’s none of those who does he compare favorably with…thanks
LOL…not even Holiday circa 2013. There’s 25 home run pop but with a .260 average and 10 SB. I can’t imagine his upside that of vintage Holliday, a healthy Cargo, or Puig.
Trade question: 12-Team Keeper League, currently 6th place. Top 6 make playoffs and need outside opinion. Trade G. Polanco($5) for D. Price ($26), Polanco is in a “rookie” slot and isn’t currently on my team. Next year keepers at this point looking like this: Abreu($12), N. Cruz($22), C. Sale($14), D. Gordon($1). Also have Syndergaard($4) and A. Russell($6) in “rookie” slots. All rookies don’t go up in value until they are activated on a roster, all other keepers go up $5 for next year. Is this a legitimate trade to take to really push to make playoffs or is Polanco’s skill set coupled with my current keepers a solid base for next year? I’m on the fence!
Can you really make up that much with the acquisition of Price? If so and you think you can win, then maybe…otherwise NO. Polanco at $5 could be crazy good for your team long-term.
Hey Rich,
Gotta move youth to try to win this year. Do I give up Rougned Odor or Kolten Wong? Thoughts on their numbers over the next few years?
Thank you much.
Hey Rich,
10 team AL only dynasty. Despite 41 man rosters, it is a superstar league as we only use 9 hitters, 4 SP and 4 RP. Could you please rank these available guys? I have an open spot and would be cutting Sardinas to get a second.
Steven Moya
Joan Mauricio
Richie Schaffer
Dalton Pompey
Daniel Alvarez
Nomar Marlette
Christian Binford
Bubba Starling
Ronald Guzman
Jorge Bonifacio
I know it is a long list but I would appreciate it.
Hey Rich. I have been offered A. Rizzo for Darvish, is this enough or should I get more for Darvish. Both players are at the league min for salary and both are on expiring deals. 16 team dynasty with 40 man rosters including minors. Thanks for your help
Hi Rich. I’m having a hard time trying to figure out what Doziers worth is. I’ve offered him up for several players only to be turned down. It’s a 16 team dynasty league with 40 man rosters including minors. I just got offered David Price and a second rounder for Dozier and Correa. I have La Stella, Betts and Micah Johnson at second and Mercer and Baez at short. Any thoughts on this offer or what I may be able to get for Dozier? Thanks
Dozier’s breakout looks pretty real. Decent eye at the plate and makes good contact. Low BABIP is putting pressure on the average, so there is average upside there. The only negative I see are bad splits and it’s the RHB that is the bad side. That will always hurt him.
I don’t do this deal at all as I would rather have the two bats. Dozier is earning $25 and I bet you goes ahead of Price in next year’s draft; at least that’s where I’ll have him slotted. He might be discounted because he plays on the Twins so the RBI and runs may be surpressed but that team is on the rise with Sano and Buxton up sometime in 2015. Also Correa has beast potential written all over him. I’d rather have Dozier and Correa and I don’t think it’s close.
What do you project Javier Baez to hit in MLB? I see his combined career OBP average in minors is around .330, can he do that in mlb?..the way I’m set up to win is offensively focus solely on hits, runs, OBP, SB…and punt HR RBI because my pitching staff is so good I win 4 or 5 of the 6 pitching cats a week..do you think Baez can fit in that mold? And if not who do you suggest I can/should move him for that would better fit?
Think George Springer but at a middle infield position. He’s a free swinger and will walk infrequently and strike out a ton. However, he hits the ball hard and could see a consistent BABIP induced .250 batting average and a .300 OBP but with 30+ HR and 10-15 stolen bases. That’s a huge player at SS or 2B but it will come with downside pressure of the average. BTW, that’s his ceiling and it could time for him to reach it. Talent is high but there are concerns about his “look at me” approach to the game. That’s where he and Springer part company. Springer is a solid guy and is showing team leadership. I have yet to see that in Baez. Something to watch…
He’ll be inconsistent this year and maybe forever. The delivery is the problem and he has very little room for error. His stuff is swing and miss but he’ll always be prone to blow-ups. If he ever puts it together, it’ll be very, very good. How to play it? Yes, for a keeper, I would take a gamble in 12-team and higher formats.
Hi Rich. Just wondering if you consider Oscar Taveras decent return for Dozier in a 16 team dynasty. I’m trying to move Dosier. Can I get more than just Oscar?
The beginning of the year, absolutely but Dozier is having a ridiculous fantasy season and I would try to get another piece. If I can’t would I still accept…for me, I would. Huge fan of Oscar and I think you’re getting him cheap. I’m still a big believer.
Hi Rich,
I love your site and podcast. It has changed my thought process on the kids.
I am rebuilding this year in my dynasty league. We can keep as many as we like, for however long we like. Salaries go up 30% a year. Wins, SO, ERA, WHIP, Saves are the categories we use.
What are your thoughts on my pitching staff next year? Prices reflect 2015 salaries. I still need to draft a Wainwright type of pitcher right? Maybe a closer depending on off season moves.
1. C Kluber $4
2. T Bauer $3
3. K Gausman $3
4. M Stroman $3
5. R De La Rosa $2
6. D Holland $2
7. D Salazar $3
8. A Meyer $2
8. C Allen $5
8. J Mejia $3
9. H Rondon $7
Sorry for the late reply…Rondon doesn’t seem to fit here with a $7 cost. Still not a fan of Rubby D. I think he’s a sell high candidate. Other wise, the pitching looks young, cheap with upside.
Hi Rich,
I love your site and podcast. It has changed my thought process on the kids.
I am rebuilding this year in my dynasty league. We can keep as many as we like, for however long we like. Salaries go up 30% a year. Wins, SO, ERA, WHIP, Saves are the categories.
What are your thoughts on my pitching staff next year? Prices reflect 2015 salaries.I still need to draft a Wainwright type of pitcher right?
1. C Kluber $4
2. T Bauer $3
3. K Gausman $3
4. M Stroman $3
5. R De La Rosa $2
6. D Holland $2
7. D Salazar $3
8. A Meyer $2
8. C Allen $5
8. J Mejia $3
9. H Rondon $7
Love the staff and in particular the price for the talent you are keeping. Yeah, you probably still need a #1 but Kluber and Gausman could be very good.
I’m not a huge fan of Rubby…just think the league will figure him out. Nothing special. Hector Rondon at $7 doesn’t really fit in that mix. Probably 50/50 that he gets save opportunities in 2015. Otherwise, pretty good.
Im a team in a 20 team dynasty thats rebuilding. I was offered Chris Davis and a 3rd round pick for Sean Doolittle, Marcell Ozuna and a 2nd round pick. I would be giving up Doolittle whats your take?
Hey Rich! I’m wondering if Dozier for Choo is a wise move. I own Dozier and I’m looking for a LF. It’s a 16 team dynasty, and Choo is on a 5 yr @ 17k a yr deal. 20k, in our league, is considered a “big” contract. Thoughts??
If 20K is a big contract, then I’m assuming 17K is pretty big. How much is Dozier. I’m not sure Choo is worth a pretty big contract but who would be some comparables?
Dozier is at 2500 and is on an expiring contract. He’ll go to 7500, if I resign him, for 2 more yrs. I have room for big contract. Just wondering if u feel if dozier for Choo is worth it. Should I look for more??
I think I’d rather have Dozier. 18 HR, 17 SB. Yeah, his average stick, but his BABIP is also poor, so he’s probably more of a .255-.260 hitter with a ..350-.360 OBP. The guy is earning $27. For less money than Choo, I’d hunt elsewhere…just my two-cents.
No, he’s a stud, but Trout is the best player and will be for a while. It’s a tough call and I’m not 100% convinced of this and you should think very hard about it, but I’d go Trout.
Hi Rich. I recently placed Dozier on the trading block in a 16 team dynasty points points. I have La Stella and Betts as replacements. I just got offered Segura ( at league minimum salary for 2 more yrs) and Alex Guerrero (min sal/ 3 yrs). My current starting SS is Mercer and I own Baez and CCorrea. Do you like the deal enough to jump on it, or continue to shop Dozier for a better player(s). I’m in no contention to win this season. Thanks!
I am in a Deep Keeper League where you keep a total of 30 players every year. Was Offered Gerrit Cole for Cliff Lee and Doug Fister. My pitching staff has lots of depth. What do you think?
Hey Rich. I’m in a 16 team dynasty pts league and considering trading away Dozier for Bautista. I’d be replacing 2B with La Stella and I also own MBetts. Would you do this deal and is it even enough to land Bautista?
I like Urias but it depends on who’s available with your first round. If it’s last year’s crop and you can get Rodon, then no. Urias could be a solid #3 at worse
Quick question for my other dynasty league…would you trade jon gray add joc pederson for pedroia and alcantara? Its a h2h league. ..my pitching is very solid..so my strategy is to try and win only obp,hits,sb in offense since my pitchers almost always win me w, qs, k, whjp, era…knowing all that would u do this deal?
It will help you this year but Pedoria appears to be entering his natural regression and is no longer a top 3 second baseman. I like Alcantara, so taht lessens the long-term blow.
Hey Rich,
What do you hear about Villar? I need speed at SS but is it time to clear him from my roster? I was able to get Asdrubal and a pick for Drew and Rubby but I am 7 SBs behind for the 2 points I need to get into the playoffs.
I also picked up Josh Fields yesterday. What is his ceiling?
Thanks,
Frank
Villar’s inability to control the strikezone will probably move him to a utility role long-term. Correa getting hurt gives him another chance next year, but I’m not hopeful. He’s a speed guy, which is great for fantasy, but baseball team’s are looking for an OBP over .255; especially the metric-minded Astros.
I was offered Jose Reyes for my Daniel Norris, Raimel Tapia and first rd pick. I am currently 9th of 15 with no chance to win this year. Do I even bother with this trade or try to get more once those two prospects’ stock blows up over the winter?
5×5 roto 45 man rosters (30 mlb, 15 mil)
Thanks man
I’m not sure why you would want a 31-year-old SS that is always getting hurt if you have no chance to win. Love Tapia and Norris and I’m assuming that 1st round pick will be quite valuable. I say no.
Thanks
Rich, I know you liked A. Webster more than A. Ranaudo at the beginning of the year (based on your rankings). Do you still feel the same way??
I did until today’s fiasco. Then again, Ranaudo walked 5 I think yesterday. Webster has great stuff, just still can’t repeat his delivery well enough to succeed at the highest level. Long answer, is yes. But I’m losing confidence.
Hi Rich,
League is set-up to keep 15 players per year with all team missing the playoffs which is the direction I’m heading in. Other team is asking for a second rounder – equivalent to a 17th round pick in standard single-season leagues – in a straight-up deal for Gyorko
I have Rendon and Gordon (who also has SS eligibility and where I currently have him slotted in my lineup) but I like what Gyorko showed his rookie year, especially for a 2B. He’s been hitting well since coming off the DL so I’m wondering if he was trying to play through pain the first couple months of the season when he batted so poorly?
Do you think his rookie year numbers are a reasonable expectation for a healthy Gyorko in 2015 or is he somewhere in between that and what he did at the beginning of this year?
Thank you!
Just re-read that first line and saw it made no sense. All teams missing the playoff this year in a 12 team league would receive a 0 round pick next off season. Thanks for the help!
I don’t. I think he’s an ok player with power upside of 15-18, not 23. At a MI, that feels like a reasonable value for a 17th round pick.
jed lowrie, Folty for your boy VV, Victor Sanchez, Luis Sardinas..
Team is rebuilding.
pick a side
countered with lowrie for VV and Sardinas as well
Eh…Prefer VV over Folty, but Sanchez and Sardinas are modest players.
Just following up Richie!! ended up landing VV and Sardinas for Lowrie. Future Staff/Farm shaping up nicely for a rebuilder:
Henderson Alvarez
Wily Peralta
Roenis Elias (May trade)
Ivan Nova (**sigh TJ**)
Rubby De La Rosa
Brandin Workman
Noah Syndergaard
Jameson Taillon (**sigh TJ**)
Carlos Martinez
Mike Folty
Hunter Harvey
Sean Manaea
Vincent Velasquez
A lot of upside in the arms. Folty’s a reliever though…probably a closer though. My opinion.
I decided to rebuilt in my 12 team head to head I have
Polanco Taveras Sano Correa Buxton Arenado Adams Marte
Bundy Teheran J.Gray Zimmer S.Miller
We keep 15 so top 180 are gone and I have 3 first round picks
Got offered Tulo Drew for Castro Longoria and a 1st from the person who has a great chance to win so like 10-12 pick in the first next year I’m getting Tulo Thoughts
I like the Tulo side.
Hey Rich,
Matt Adams. What’s your feeling about him moving forward. Playing time seems to be less of an issue.
Are we looking at a 30+ HR guy? Perhaps a Billy Butler type? Good average but power doesn’t fully develop?
Thanks as always.
Very, very aggressive hitter but is still able to make solid contact. However, his BA is driven by a unsustainable .364 BABIP. That .310 average is going to drop…maybe by 50 to 60 points. Ceiling is 25-30 home run guy.
Looking for projected values on a few guys in that same NL Only $260 league…
Jean Segura
Ryan Zimmerman
Wilson Ramos
Wilmer Flores
Sorry, can’t really help there. Not wired into the details of an NL Only Dynasty.
Thanks!
Rich, allow me to expand my question above. I am sitting on Cron but Guerrero is available on wire. Having said that, so is C. Seager and Solar. Again, no pressing positional need on my end. How do rank these four for next year and beyond??
Thanks.
Hey Roland, Here’s how I would rank them. Seager, Soler, Cron and Guerrero. Having said that, I just spent time talking with someone about Soler and he had me convinced that he has Top 10 talent, plus he’ll likely be up next year; maybe even a September call-up as he’s on the 40-man. I need to do some more digging on Soler but my mid-season ranking of 30 could have been low. Both Seager and Soler above Cron and Guerrrero
Who do you like better for next year and beyond (I have equal strength and depth at both CI and MI positions)…..Cron or A. Guerrero??
Yadier Molina…thoughts? Should I buy him in an NL only, two catcher league for a salary of $16? His contract expires after next year. The cost would be a starter I can’t keep. My other C is Grandal… Who does 2 catcher leagues in NL Only anyway?
Thanks!
That gives you an advantage in a two catcher Only League. $16 sounds expensive though. Is the budget $260 or more?
Budget is $260… Thought it might be a bit much
It’s a tough call. having two quality catchers is a big advantage in a 2-catcher only league. Not sure what he would cost in an NL Only startup. Probably around 15-16, so it’s fair value, but full value as well.
Any thoughts on Cuban prospect Rusney Castillo, who had recent tryout…
I have no first hand knowledge. I hope to get some info soon.
Q#1:Maybe a simple question but who do you prefer short term and long term?
Russell or Lindor?
Q#2: A few thoughts on Gerrit Cole?
Fantasy stud or injury risk. Nervous about his incredible velocity.
Follow up:
What’s your take on Segura? Hasn’t produced like first half last year. Give him time or pull the chute? (Keeper league moving forward)
A .259 BABIP will make you look really bad. Not getting on-base and therefore not stealing bases. Hold tight, there is a recovery on the horizon.
Lindor could be up this year, so he would be short-term, but Russell is going to be a star.
Cole – He has all the warning signs of a TJS waiting to happen, but you just can’t play that game or you’ll only own guys like Mark Beurhle. I think he’s a fantasy stud.
hey rich 🙂
rebuild mode this seems like a no brainer right?
give up kluber
get addison russel , salazar and odorizzi
gotta drop 2 pitchers though..who goes out of this bunch
Keuchel , hahn , carlos martinez , bauer , meyer , jon gray , kazmir
thx! listening to your podcast as i type this
I would do it with the two pitchers to drop being Keuchel and Hahn or C-Mart. C-Mart has more upside but he could still wind up in the pen. Tough call. I’d go with upside and drop Hahn.
Any updated thoughts on Phil Ervin? What is the likelihood he is successful or fails in the majors and when do you think we find out?
It’s been a tough year for Ervin. Still in Low-A and not doing great. Still athletic but a long, long way to go.
Dyansty H2H pts league. J. Pederson available on wire. Would you drop K. Morales (have Cron & Loney) or Gyorko or La Stella (have Profar, Alcantara, and ability to play Lawrie at 2B) to pick him up? If so can who do you drop first, second and third?? Thanks.
I would. La Stella, Loney, and then Morales. Still think there is something there with Morales. La Stella is mostly an average guy and not as helpful in H2H leagues in general. Same with Loney
Thanks Rich. Mind sharing some thoughts on Soler?
Undervalued at the moment because he can’t stay healthy. Big dude that will hit many big home runs. Swing and miss of course, but a prototypical power RF with 25+ HR power. That said, staying healthy is just as important and we need to start to see that.
Hey Rich. I’m having a hard time buying into Doziers stats and worry that their not sustainable over the long term. In a 16 team dynasty points league w/ 40 man rosters (15 minors) would you trade him for Soler and what are your thoughts on him (Soler)? La Stella would take over 2nd and I have Betts. Also, I own Bryant and Baez…too many Cubs??
Dozier is on an expiring contract. 5k to resign for 1 yr.
Soler is at lge minimum 1k for 3 yrs
Thanks for your input
I’m actually buying into Dozier. We will talk about him on Sunday if you want to listen in.
One more question, who wins this deal, I give Touki Touissant I get Eric Jagielo?
Depends on your viewpoint. If you’re looking for the home run, it’s Touki. If you’re looking for a guy that will likely make the big leagues but could be good, not great. It’s Jagielo. It’s high risk/high reward vs. more certainty. You also have to throw in the fact that Touki is an arm and therefore inherently, more risky.
thanks, I already have Bryant, Machado and Castellanos at 3rd, so I’ll take the risk with Touki.
Good luck…it’s going to take a while…be patient
Sorry, one more, who would you rather have long term Rick Porcello or Nick Kingham?
Procello.
Rich,
Want do you know/think of Austin Meadows? Is he too far off to roster, or could he be an under-the-radar prospect to roster?
Thanks,
Still like him. Missed most of the year due to injury and therefore is a little under the radar. Would like him on my team. Still 2-3 years away though. Missing a year pushed his timeframe back. Could see the AFL as a taxi squad guy to push up his innings, despite being very young for the league.
I was offered this trade in a 30 team dynasty league with a 25 man MLB roster and 40 man minor league roster, should i do it? I’m trying to rebuild and third base is one of my strengths while shortstop is my biggest weakness.
I get
$1.00 Brock Holt (3B,LF,RF)
SS J.P. Crawford (PHI) TEX
he gets
3B Jake Lamb (ARZ) SEA
3B Patrick Kivlehan SEA
P Edwin Diaz SEA
P Allen Webster (BOS) SEA
2B Wendell Rijo (BOS) SEA
J.P Crawford makes it worthwhile. I still don’t believe in Holt. The only pause is Webster…still think he could amount to something but in 2-years, you’ll be very happy with Crawford.
in a rebuilding stage and i know youre a fan of Vincent Velasquezas am I. Have a young staff of Henderson alvarez, Wily Peralta, Rubby De La Rosa, Brandon Workman, Roenis Elias, CMart, with Syndergaard, taillon, harvey, manaea, robbie ray in the farm but looking for more SP depth. I have Alcantarra on the fringe of getting 2b eligibility. So would you deal Jed Lowrie for Vincent or ask for a little more?
I’m a big fan of VV but he’s in High-A and while Lowrie is not a great fantasy asset, you should be able to get a little more. Maybe a pick in next year’s draft? A flier prospect?
Does the trade to Texas change the value of Thompson and/or Knebel? What’s your best guess of their ceiling? Thanks Rich!
Wasn’t huge on Thompson to start with and this only hurts him. Kenbel has a live arm but there is effort in his delivery and therefore he struggles to repeat and therefore has below average command. That said, he should improve and could eventually be inline to be a closer, particularly if Feliz struggles.
What do you think about Tyson Ross’s future value? Is this who he is or will he get better/regress from here? I have a chance to move Moss and Ross for Buxton and Addison Russell in a dynasty league where I am out of it this year. I already have a ton of the top prospects so if it is close at all I think I am going to lean on the guys who will produce next year. Thanks in advance.
Honestly, there’s a lot to like. Strikeout per nine with 3:1 K/BB rate, a 58% ground ball rate, and a fastball sitting 94.33 MPH and touching 96 are all pointing to an elite pitcher. Plus, Petco will keep his ratios low. Now, San Diego will also suppress his wins, but otherwise, yeah…he’s really good. Russell and Buxton is quite a haul and if you are rebuilding, I would consider. Ross is still a pitcher and prone to injuries because of that, but Buxton and Russell are in Double-A and carry their own risk.
LOVING what I’m seeing from Soler: 22G in AA he batted .415/.494/.862 6HR…now he just got the call to AAA — I know you project him at a 25HR guy – are you calling him Marcel Ozuna? or his he better
Better.
F/U Soler question….I’m going to list 3 players of varying abilities who will he most be like once he’s fulfilled his promise…Yasiel Puig, Cargo, Matt Holiday….and if it’s none of those who does he compare favorably with…thanks
LOL…not even Holiday circa 2013. There’s 25 home run pop but with a .260 average and 10 SB. I can’t imagine his upside that of vintage Holliday, a healthy Cargo, or Puig.
Then why such hype? If he is apparently not that good?
He’s good just not as good as the other guys you mentioned. I doubt he’s a 1st round talent.
Richie Rich!
Trade question: 12-Team Keeper League, currently 6th place. Top 6 make playoffs and need outside opinion. Trade G. Polanco($5) for D. Price ($26), Polanco is in a “rookie” slot and isn’t currently on my team. Next year keepers at this point looking like this: Abreu($12), N. Cruz($22), C. Sale($14), D. Gordon($1). Also have Syndergaard($4) and A. Russell($6) in “rookie” slots. All rookies don’t go up in value until they are activated on a roster, all other keepers go up $5 for next year. Is this a legitimate trade to take to really push to make playoffs or is Polanco’s skill set coupled with my current keepers a solid base for next year? I’m on the fence!
Thanks!!
Can you really make up that much with the acquisition of Price? If so and you think you can win, then maybe…otherwise NO. Polanco at $5 could be crazy good for your team long-term.
Hey Rich,
Gotta move youth to try to win this year. Do I give up Rougned Odor or Kolten Wong? Thoughts on their numbers over the next few years?
Thank you much.
Very close…Wong has the PT but Odor is intriguing. I probably go Odor.
Hey Rich,
10 team AL only dynasty. Despite 41 man rosters, it is a superstar league as we only use 9 hitters, 4 SP and 4 RP. Could you please rank these available guys? I have an open spot and would be cutting Sardinas to get a second.
Steven Moya
Joan Mauricio
Richie Schaffer
Dalton Pompey
Daniel Alvarez
Nomar Marlette
Christian Binford
Bubba Starling
Ronald Guzman
Jorge Bonifacio
I know it is a long list but I would appreciate it.
Love you,
Frank
Dalton Pompey and then probably Alvarez.
Hey Rich. I have been offered A. Rizzo for Darvish, is this enough or should I get more for Darvish. Both players are at the league min for salary and both are on expiring deals. 16 team dynasty with 40 man rosters including minors. Thanks for your help
Rizzo looks great but Darvish is worth a little more. Try to get another piece.
Hi Rich. I’m having a hard time trying to figure out what Doziers worth is. I’ve offered him up for several players only to be turned down. It’s a 16 team dynasty league with 40 man rosters including minors. I just got offered David Price and a second rounder for Dozier and Correa. I have La Stella, Betts and Micah Johnson at second and Mercer and Baez at short. Any thoughts on this offer or what I may be able to get for Dozier? Thanks
I’m an expansion team and have no chance of winning this season
Dozier’s breakout looks pretty real. Decent eye at the plate and makes good contact. Low BABIP is putting pressure on the average, so there is average upside there. The only negative I see are bad splits and it’s the RHB that is the bad side. That will always hurt him.
I don’t do this deal at all as I would rather have the two bats. Dozier is earning $25 and I bet you goes ahead of Price in next year’s draft; at least that’s where I’ll have him slotted. He might be discounted because he plays on the Twins so the RBI and runs may be surpressed but that team is on the rise with Sano and Buxton up sometime in 2015. Also Correa has beast potential written all over him. I’d rather have Dozier and Correa and I don’t think it’s close.
Thanks for the insight, Rich! Much appreciated
What do you project Javier Baez to hit in MLB? I see his combined career OBP average in minors is around .330, can he do that in mlb?..the way I’m set up to win is offensively focus solely on hits, runs, OBP, SB…and punt HR RBI because my pitching staff is so good I win 4 or 5 of the 6 pitching cats a week..do you think Baez can fit in that mold? And if not who do you suggest I can/should move him for that would better fit?
Think George Springer but at a middle infield position. He’s a free swinger and will walk infrequently and strike out a ton. However, he hits the ball hard and could see a consistent BABIP induced .250 batting average and a .300 OBP but with 30+ HR and 10-15 stolen bases. That’s a huge player at SS or 2B but it will come with downside pressure of the average. BTW, that’s his ceiling and it could time for him to reach it. Talent is high but there are concerns about his “look at me” approach to the game. That’s where he and Springer part company. Springer is a solid guy and is showing team leadership. I have yet to see that in Baez. Something to watch…
hey rich,
Thoughts on Trevor Bauer moving forward? hes available in both my keepers should i be going after TB? dont know a whole lot about him.
thanks 🙂
He’ll be inconsistent this year and maybe forever. The delivery is the problem and he has very little room for error. His stuff is swing and miss but he’ll always be prone to blow-ups. If he ever puts it together, it’ll be very, very good. How to play it? Yes, for a keeper, I would take a gamble in 12-team and higher formats.
I’m rebuilding in a 24 team dynasty league. Would you trade Samardzija for Soler?
As the major players but I would try to get another piece.
Hi Rich. Just wondering if you consider Oscar Taveras decent return for Dozier in a 16 team dynasty. I’m trying to move Dosier. Can I get more than just Oscar?
The beginning of the year, absolutely but Dozier is having a ridiculous fantasy season and I would try to get another piece. If I can’t would I still accept…for me, I would. Huge fan of Oscar and I think you’re getting him cheap. I’m still a big believer.
Hi Rich,
I love your site and podcast. It has changed my thought process on the kids.
I am rebuilding this year in my dynasty league. We can keep as many as we like, for however long we like. Salaries go up 30% a year. Wins, SO, ERA, WHIP, Saves are the categories we use.
What are your thoughts on my pitching staff next year? Prices reflect 2015 salaries. I still need to draft a Wainwright type of pitcher right? Maybe a closer depending on off season moves.
1. C Kluber $4
2. T Bauer $3
3. K Gausman $3
4. M Stroman $3
5. R De La Rosa $2
6. D Holland $2
7. D Salazar $3
8. A Meyer $2
8. C Allen $5
8. J Mejia $3
9. H Rondon $7
Sorry for the late reply…Rondon doesn’t seem to fit here with a $7 cost. Still not a fan of Rubby D. I think he’s a sell high candidate. Other wise, the pitching looks young, cheap with upside.
Hi Rich,
I love your site and podcast. It has changed my thought process on the kids.
I am rebuilding this year in my dynasty league. We can keep as many as we like, for however long we like. Salaries go up 30% a year. Wins, SO, ERA, WHIP, Saves are the categories.
What are your thoughts on my pitching staff next year? Prices reflect 2015 salaries.I still need to draft a Wainwright type of pitcher right?
1. C Kluber $4
2. T Bauer $3
3. K Gausman $3
4. M Stroman $3
5. R De La Rosa $2
6. D Holland $2
7. D Salazar $3
8. A Meyer $2
8. C Allen $5
8. J Mejia $3
9. H Rondon $7
Thanks for your kind thoughts.
Love the staff and in particular the price for the talent you are keeping. Yeah, you probably still need a #1 but Kluber and Gausman could be very good.
I’m not a huge fan of Rubby…just think the league will figure him out. Nothing special. Hector Rondon at $7 doesn’t really fit in that mix. Probably 50/50 that he gets save opportunities in 2015. Otherwise, pretty good.
Im a team in a 20 team dynasty thats rebuilding. I was offered Chris Davis and a 3rd round pick for Sean Doolittle, Marcell Ozuna and a 2nd round pick. I would be giving up Doolittle whats your take?
I would do that.
Hey Rich! I’m wondering if Dozier for Choo is a wise move. I own Dozier and I’m looking for a LF. It’s a 16 team dynasty, and Choo is on a 5 yr @ 17k a yr deal. 20k, in our league, is considered a “big” contract. Thoughts??
If 20K is a big contract, then I’m assuming 17K is pretty big. How much is Dozier. I’m not sure Choo is worth a pretty big contract but who would be some comparables?
Dozier is at 2500 and is on an expiring contract. He’ll go to 7500, if I resign him, for 2 more yrs. I have room for big contract. Just wondering if u feel if dozier for Choo is worth it. Should I look for more??
I think I’d rather have Dozier. 18 HR, 17 SB. Yeah, his average stick, but his BABIP is also poor, so he’s probably more of a .255-.260 hitter with a ..350-.360 OBP. The guy is earning $27. For less money than Choo, I’d hunt elsewhere…just my two-cents.
I have been offered Edwin e for scherzer. would you do that?
In a redraft league, yes as we don’t know when EE will be back. In a Dynasty League, no.
Keeper league and in rebuild mode…which side of this trade would,you prefer…
Kris Bryant/machado
Or
Wil Myers and sano
I was also offered trout and Brantley
For puig and Bryant.
I love the idea of Bryant in wrigley…but am I over valuing him?
No, he’s a stud, but Trout is the best player and will be for a while. It’s a tough call and I’m not 100% convinced of this and you should think very hard about it, but I’d go Trout.
Bryant/Machado
Hi Rich. I recently placed Dozier on the trading block in a 16 team dynasty points points. I have La Stella and Betts as replacements. I just got offered Segura ( at league minimum salary for 2 more yrs) and Alex Guerrero (min sal/ 3 yrs). My current starting SS is Mercer and I own Baez and CCorrea. Do you like the deal enough to jump on it, or continue to shop Dozier for a better player(s). I’m in no contention to win this season. Thanks!
Dozier for Segura and Guerrero. Yeah, I would be interested in that.
Hey Rich,
I am in a Deep Keeper League where you keep a total of 30 players every year. Was Offered Gerrit Cole for Cliff Lee and Doug Fister. My pitching staff has lots of depth. What do you think?
Thanks for your time
I think that’s reasonable given the age of Lee
Hi Rich,
How would you rank these SP prospects as of now- Kyle Crick, Lucas Sims, Alex Meyer, Jesse Biddle, and Daniel Norris? Thank you
Meyer, Norris, Sims, Biddle, Crick
Thanks Rich – appreciated. Any of my minor leaguers you think I should trade away?
Baez, Correa, Frazier, Starling, Gray, Zimmer and now Tevares & Dahl/Seager.
Bubba doesn’t really fit in that group.
10 team 15 player keeper league with minors… Rebuild mode, & needing a 3b eligible player…
I give Blackmon & Pujols,
Receive Chisenhall, Taveras & Dahl or Seager.
Who wins? Who you like more – Dahl or Seager?
Many thanks.
Not sure who wins, but I like the Taveras side if you’re rebuilding. Seager or Dahl…hard to go wrong, but Seager is further along, so I’ll go there.
Hey Rich. I’m in a 16 team dynasty pts league and considering trading away Dozier for Bautista. I’d be replacing 2B with La Stella and I also own MBetts. Would you do this deal and is it even enough to land Bautista?
Yes I would. You have depth and Bautista is still very, very good.
Hey Rich, in a 16 team dynasty I have offered scherzer and Blackmon for Goldschmidt. Is that a fair offer?
Nope. Would rather have Goldy.
thoughts on urias? i would be giving up a 1st rounder…building for the future of course
heres my keepers, does he fit on this team? we keep 12
giolito,
J gray
meyer
heaney
C martinez
gausman
teheran
sano,
lindor
C correra
polanco
D gordon
i actually have a few more keepers but its hard to decide on between Cron,betts,dahl,todd frazier,danny santana ,keuchel
forget to mention i would be getting a 3rd round pick back and doolittle who i could ship off to a contender for a draft pick
I like Urias but it depends on who’s available with your first round. If it’s last year’s crop and you can get Rodon, then no. Urias could be a solid #3 at worse
Quick question for my other dynasty league…would you trade jon gray add joc pederson for pedroia and alcantara? Its a h2h league. ..my pitching is very solid..so my strategy is to try and win only obp,hits,sb in offense since my pitchers almost always win me w, qs, k, whjp, era…knowing all that would u do this deal?
It will help you this year but Pedoria appears to be entering his natural regression and is no longer a top 3 second baseman. I like Alcantara, so taht lessens the long-term blow.