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2021 First Year Player Draft Rankings

1. Austin Martin (Tor, IF/OF) – I’m not sure where he plays, but the tools are fantasy-friendly and it looks like he can hit.  While Torkelson has the better hit tool and power, the speed for me is the separator.

2. Spencer Torkelson (Det, 1B) – The safest pick in this year’s supplemental draft, and if you want to pick him first, I get it.  There’s a chance for him to hit .300 as a middle-of-the-order power bat.

3. Zac Veen (Col, OF) – He has a nice complement of tools and an advanced approach at the plate to warrant a high pick.  The Rockies have struggled of late to develop players but Veen’s hit tool is so advanced, I think we are talking about a different level of player than the Hampson’s, MacMahon’s that have recently come through the system.

4. Robert Hassell (SD, OF) – He has plenty of tools and was drafted into an organization that knows how to develop players.

5. Asa Lacy (KC, LHP) – The top pitcher in the draft might go higher in supplemental drafts if a team is looking for pitching help immediately.  Lacy is talented with a ceiling of a solid number three, perhaps a little more.

6. Nick Gonzales (Pit, 2B) – He’s an advanced hitter with solid speed and questionable power.  He did hit for power in limited college action in 2020, but that was done in the friendly-hitting confines of New Mexico State.

7. Max Meyer (Mia, RHP) – Smallish pitcher with two double-plus pitches in his fastball/slider.  He could be homer prone with a backup plan being an elite bullpen arm.  However, assuming his third pitch comes around, there’s a chance for a solid mid-rotation starter.

8. Emerson Hancock (Sea, RHP) – He has good size with a plus fastball-change-up which could give him early success in the big leagues.  The outstanding question is his slider.  If it develops, he could pitch at the top of the rotation.  However, that’s far from guaranteed.

9. Ha-Seong Kim (SD, 2B) – He’ll likely get plenty of playing time in 2021, but I’m just gun shy of Asian players.  If you decide to take him early and he flops, well, you’ve been warned.

10. Garrett Mitchell (Mil, OF) – Speedster with a good approach at the plate.  He needs to add loft to his swing to develop more power.  The upside is likely a Lorenzo Cain type of performer.

11. Pete Crow-Armstrong (NYM, OF) – I hear nothing but positive things about Armstrong.  While he’s listed at 11, if I’m rebuilding, I might take him before the pitchers and Kim listed above.

12. Reid Detmers (LAA, LHP) – While Crochet beat him to the big leagues, Detmers has the best chance to be the first to arrive as a starter.  Solid stuff from the left-side should give him a long Major League career.

13. Tyler Soderstrom (Oak, C) – His bat is well ahead of his catching that could lead to him moving to a corner outfield position.  The good news is that he looks like he can hit with promising power.

14. Heston Kjerstad (Bal, OF) – I love what the Orioles are doing but didn’t care for this pick.  Kjerstad has plus power but it will come with a ton of strikeouts.  That said, the Orioles are proving they know what they are doing, so perhaps they see a path forward to fixing his hit tool.

15. Cade Cavalli (Was, RHP) – Athletic two-way player with a promising arsenal.  The control isn’t always there but with his athleticism, I’m betting on the over that his control develops.

16. Cole Wilcox (TB, RHP) – Despite being selected in the third round, he has a nice combination of athleticism with promising stuff.

17. Pedro Leon (Hou, OF) – He’s 22-years-old and hasn’t played for a while but all the tools are there to be a stud.  If he can knock off the rust, he could be an option for the Astros in 2023, maybe in 2022.

18. Garrett Crochet (CHW, LHP) – Was impressive in his big league debut but needs to hone his arsenal, including developing a change-up if he is to stay a starter.

19. Wilman Diaz (LAD, SS) – The Dodgers continue to sign elite international talent and arguably signed the kid with the highest upside in Diaz.  His hit tool is very advanced with great bat speed and enough foot speed to project to steal double-digit bases.

20. Mick Abel (Phi, RHP) – He has the size and raw stuff to pitch at the top of the rotation.  He’s a long way off though and the Phillies will need to be patient.

21. Carlos Colmenarez (TB, SS) – Another Rays’ big international talent with a great swing and plenty of bat speed to project future power.

22. Cristian Hernandez (CHC, SS) – The comps are off the charts with Hernandez as he’s being compared to everyone from Carlos Correa to A-Rod.  There’s tons of tool and an impressive approach at the plate.

23. Ed Howard (CHC, SS) – Solid high school shortstop prospect who could develop into a full-time regular.  He has good bat speed that points to future power and a semblance of an approach at the plate.

24. Austin Hendrick (Cin, OF) – His calling card is double-plus power but with an approach that will likely put pressure on his hit tool.  Also, he’s already 19-years-old and has yet to play a professional game.

25. Jordan Walker (Stl, 3B) – He has tons of tools but there is concern that he’ll hit enough.  If he can, he could be an all-star performer.

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